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B2C Channel Quality Comparison
Compares retention by acquisition channel for a B2C subscription app, calculates LTV multiples, and provides clear prioritization recommendations.
Input
What you provide to the skill
Google Ads: 35% W1, 22% W4. Referrals: 72% W1, 65% W4. Content: 52% W1, 40% W4. We’re a B2C subscription app. Which channel should we prioritize?
Output
What the skill generates for you
Cohort Analysis by Signup Source
Overall Assessment: CLEAR WINNER - Referrals dominate significantly
Referrals are your standout channel with 72% Week 1 and 65% Week 4 retention. Google Ads significantly underperforms.
Benchmark Comparison
| Metric | Google Ads | Referrals | Content | B2C Subscription Benchmark |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Week 1 Retention | 35% | 72% | 52% | 45-55% |
| Week 4 Retention | 22% | 65% | 40% | 30-40% |
| W1→W4 Drop | 13% | 7% | 12% | 10-15% |
| vs. Benchmark | Below | Exceptional | Above | - |
Key Insights
1. Referrals Are Dramatically Better (2x+ Other Channels)
72% Week 1 retention is exceptional for B2C—well above the 45-55% benchmark. More importantly:
- Only 7% drop from W1 to W4 (extremely low ongoing churn)
- 65% Week 4 means these users found real value and are sticky
- Pre-qualified by someone who knows both your product and the prospect
Why referrals win: Higher intent, better product fit, social proof built-in.
2. Google Ads Users Are Low Quality
35% Week 1 / 22% Week 4 is significantly below benchmark:
- 65% lost in Week 1 (activation failure)
- These users likely clicked on broad/informational keywords
- Ad copy may be attracting curiosity-seekers, not committed buyers
Questions to investigate:
- Which specific keywords/campaigns drive these users?
- Are you bidding on broad match or informational queries?
- Does ad copy set accurate expectations about commitment required?
3. Content/SEO is Solid and Scalable
52% Week 1 / 40% Week 4 is above B2C benchmarks:
- These users actively sought solutions (high intent)
- Sustainable, scalable acquisition channel
- Not as strong as referrals but better than paid
4. Week 1→Week 4 Stability Tells the Story
| Channel | W1→W4 Drop | Interpretation |
|---|---|---|
| Google Ads | 13% | High churn continues even after activation |
| Referrals | 7% | Very sticky once activated |
| Content | 12% | Moderate ongoing churn |
Referrals don’t just activate better—they stay better.
Channel Quality Ranking
| Rank | Channel | W4 Retention | LTV Multiple | Recommendation |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Referrals | 65% | ~3x Google Ads | SCALE AGGRESSIVELY |
| 2 | Content/SEO | 40% | ~1.8x Google Ads | GROW STEADILY |
| 3 | Google Ads | 22% | 1x | OPTIMIZE OR CUT |
Financial Implication
Assuming average subscription value of $15/month for a B2C app:
| Channel | W4 Retention | Estimated 6-Month LTV |
|---|---|---|
| Referrals | 65% | ~$60 |
| Content/SEO | 40% | ~$38 |
| Google Ads | 22% | ~$22 |
Referrals are worth 3x Google Ads users. Even if referral CAC is 2x higher, LTV makes it worthwhile.
Segmentation Suggestions
| Dimension | Why It Matters | What to Look For |
|---|---|---|
| Referral Source | Understand referral quality | Are referrals from power users better than casual users? |
| Time-to-First-Value | Activation speed | Do referrals activate faster? Can you replicate for other channels? |
| Google Ads Keyword/Campaign | Targeting quality | Which specific ads drive low vs. high retention? |
| Content Topic | Content-channel fit | Which articles/topics attract best users? |
| Geographic Cohort | Market fit | Do certain regions perform better by channel? |
Recommended Next Steps
Immediate (This Week):
- Calculate CAC by channel - Compare to LTV estimates above
- Audit Google Ads campaigns - Identify specific keywords/ads driving low-retention users
- Survey recent referral users - What motivated them to sign up? What did the referrer say?
Short-Term (Next 2 Weeks):
- Build/enhance referral program:
- Incentivize existing users to refer (discount, credits, cash)
- Make sharing frictionless (one-click share, pre-written messages)
- Track which users generate highest-quality referrals
- Pause or narrow Google Ads:
- Cut broad/informational keywords
- Focus only on high-intent commercial keywords
- A/B test ad copy to set accurate expectations
- Double down on content:
- Analyze which content drives best retention
- Produce more in those topics
- Build SEO moat around high-intent keywords
Medium-Term (Next Month):
- Referral program sophistication:
- Segment by referrer quality (power users get better incentives)
- Build viral loops into product (share results, invite team)
- Consider dual-sided incentives (reward both referrer and referee)
- Google Ads decision point:
- If optimization doesn’t improve W1 retention to 45%+, cut Google Ads entirely
- Reallocate budget to content and referral incentives
- Content expansion:
- Hire content writer or agency
- Target 2x content output in high-performing topics
- Build backlink strategy for SEO authority
Summary
Verdict: Prioritize referrals (clear winner), grow content (solid and scalable), optimize or cut Google Ads (underperforming).
Primary Recommendation: Invest heavily in referral program infrastructure. Even a 50% increase in referral volume would be transformative given their 3x LTV advantage. Simultaneously, audit Google Ads for quality—if you can’t get W1 retention to 45%+, cut it and reallocate budget to channels that deliver real value.
About This Skill
Interpret SaaS cohort retention data with benchmark comparisons, trend analysis, and actionable recommendations to improve user retention.
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