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Adobe Multi-Segment Competitor Analysis
Detailed segmentation of Adobe's three business lines (Creative Cloud, Document Cloud, Experience Cloud) to identify appropriate competitive peers for each segment. Shows how Autodesk (75% overlap) is the truest business model peer despite serving different creative verticals, while commonly-cited competitors Microsoft and Oracle have fundamentally different business models. Highlights the importance of subscription SaaS economics over generic 'software company' classifications for valuation purposes.
Input
What you provide to the skill
Find true peers for Adobe for valuation - not just ‘software companies’
Output
What the skill generates for you
True Competitors for Adobe Inc. (ADBE)
Business Model Summary
What Adobe Does: Enterprise and creative software platform serving professionals and enterprises with subscription-based tools across three domains: creative software (Photoshop, Illustrator, Premiere Pro), document management (Acrobat/PDF), and digital experience/marketing automation (Experience Cloud).
Revenue Model:
- Subscription revenue: 95% of total (~$20.4B)
- Digital Media (Creative Cloud + Document Cloud): 74% (~$15.9B)
- Digital Experience (Experience Cloud): 25% (~$5.4B)
- Publishing & Advertising (legacy): 1% (~$275M)
Target Customer:
- Creative Cloud: Professional designers, photographers, video editors, enterprises with creative teams
- Document Cloud: Knowledge workers, enterprises with document workflows
- Experience Cloud: Enterprise marketing teams, CMOs, digital agencies
Key Differentiators:
- 42% market share in creative software
- Deep ecosystem integration across creative, document, and experience tools
- 40+ years of brand loyalty (Photoshop since 1990)
- 89% gross margins
True Competitors (Ranked by Similarity)
Tier 1: Direct Competitors (>80% Business Overlap)
1. Autodesk (ADSK) - 75% Overlap
- Business: Subscription-based design software for architecture, engineering, construction, manufacturing
- Revenue Model: 98% recurring/subscription revenue (~$6.1B), SaaS delivery
- Why Similar:
- Nearly identical business model (perpetual-to-subscription transition completed)
- Same customer type (design professionals in enterprise settings)
- Similar gross margins (~91%) and operating model
- Both sell “mission-critical” creative/design tools professionals can’t switch away from
- Key Differences:
- Different verticals (AEC/manufacturing vs. creative/marketing)
- Adobe 3.5x larger ($21.5B vs. $6.1B)
- No direct product overlap (different design disciplines)
- Competitive Dynamic: Rarely compete directly—Autodesk wins architects/engineers, Adobe wins graphic designers/marketers. Some overlap in 3D/motion graphics.
2. Salesforce - Marketing Cloud (CRM) - 70% Overlap (Experience Cloud segment only)
- Business: Enterprise SaaS platform for CRM, marketing automation, customer engagement
- Revenue Model: Subscription-based ($34.9B total, ~$8B marketing/service cloud)
- Why Similar (for Experience Cloud):
- Direct competition in marketing automation, personalization, analytics
- Same enterprise buyers (CMOs, marketing teams)
- Both competing for “customer experience” budget
- Key Differences:
- Salesforce is CRM-first (sales/service), Adobe is marketing-first
- Adobe has creative asset integration; Salesforce does not
- Adobe Experience Cloud is ~25% of Adobe; Marketing Cloud is ~23% of Salesforce
- Competitive Dynamic: Head-to-head in enterprise marketing stacks. Adobe wins when creative workflow integration matters; Salesforce wins when CRM integration matters.
Tier 2: Partial Competitors (50-80% Overlap)
3. Intuit (INTU) - 55% Overlap
- Business: Subscription software for SMB financial management (QuickBooks), consumer tax (TurboTax), marketing (Mailchimp)
- Revenue Model: 85%+ subscription (~$16.3B revenue)
- Why Similar:
- Subscription-based professional software
- Mission-critical tools with high switching costs
- Similar financial profile (high margins, sticky revenue)
- Mailchimp competes with Adobe Campaign/Marketo
- Key Differences:
- Different target verticals (financial management vs. creative/marketing)
- More SMB-focused vs. Adobe’s enterprise focus
- TurboTax is consumer-focused seasonal revenue
- Competitive Dynamic: Limited direct competition except Mailchimp vs. Adobe email marketing tools.
4. ServiceNow (NOW) - 50% Overlap
- Business: Enterprise SaaS platform for IT service management and digital workflows
- Revenue Model: Subscription-based (~$11.2B, 100% recurring)
- Why Similar:
- Enterprise SaaS with land-and-expand model
- Platform play with multiple product suites
- Similar buyer (enterprise IT/ops leaders)
- Similar valuation framework (high-growth subscription)
- Key Differences:
- IT workflows vs. creative/marketing workflows
- No product overlap whatsoever
- Different end users (IT teams vs. creative/marketing teams)
- Competitive Dynamic: No direct competition—but same valuation peer for subscription software analysis.
5. Figma (Private, ~$12.5B valuation) - 65% Overlap (Creative Cloud segment only)
- Business: Collaborative web-based design platform for UI/UX
- Revenue Model: Subscription-based (~$749M ARR)
- Why Similar:
- Direct competition with Adobe XD
- Same customer (product designers, UX teams)
- Adobe attempted $20B acquisition (blocked by regulators)
- Key Differences:
- Web-native vs. desktop-first
- UI/UX only vs. Adobe’s full creative suite
- Much smaller scale ($749M vs. $15.9B Digital Media)
- Competitive Dynamic: Figma dominates UI/UX design; Adobe XD largely failed. Adobe pivoting to integrate Figma-like collaboration.
6. Canva (Private, ~$32B valuation) - 50% Overlap (Creative Cloud segment only)
- Business: Web-based design platform for non-designers (templates, drag-and-drop)
- Revenue Model: Freemium + subscription (~$3B ARR)
- Why Similar:
- Design software competing for mindshare
- 230M MAUs vs. Adobe’s ~30M Creative Cloud subscribers
- Subscription model
- Key Differences:
- Different customer: Canva = non-designers, SMBs; Adobe = professionals
- Template-based vs. professional tool
- 80% different use cases (Canva marketing collateral; Adobe professional production)
- Competitive Dynamic: Canva captures “good enough” design; Adobe retains professional workflows. ~20% overlap.
NOT True Competitors (Common Mistakes)
❌ Microsoft (MSFT) - Sector Peer, NOT Business Peer - 25% Overlap
Why Often Listed: Both are “software companies” and “cloud/SaaS”
Why NOT Comparable:
- Microsoft: Diversified tech conglomerate (Windows, Azure, Office, LinkedIn, Gaming, etc.)
- Adobe: Focused creative/document/experience software company
- Business Model: Microsoft is platform + infrastructure; Adobe is application software
- Revenue Mix: Microsoft Azure/cloud infra (24%), Windows (13%), Office (26%), Gaming (9%), LinkedIn (6%) vs. Adobe’s focused segments
- Scale: Microsoft $245B revenue vs. Adobe $21.5B (11x difference)
Actual Relationship: Microsoft Designer/Copilot creates some competitive pressure but different scale/scope entirely.
❌ Oracle (ORCL) - Different Customer, Different Product - 20% Overlap
Why Often Listed: Both have “Experience Cloud” products
Why NOT Comparable:
- Oracle: Enterprise database and ERP first; marketing cloud is acquired/bolted-on
- Adobe: Marketing and experience first; integrated creative-to-delivery pipeline
- Customer Base: Oracle wins existing Oracle ERP customers; Adobe wins net-new marketing-first buyers
- Revenue Mix: Oracle CX is ~5% of Oracle; Adobe Experience is 25% of Adobe
Overlap: Only in narrow Oracle Marketing/CX Cloud vs. Adobe Experience Cloud—different integration philosophies.
❌ SAP (SAP) - ERP Company, NOT Marketing - 15% Overlap
Why Often Listed: Both have customer experience/marketing products
Why NOT Comparable:
- SAP: Enterprise ERP/back-office first (S/4HANA, SuccessFactors)
- Adobe: Front-office creative and marketing first
- Revenue Model: SAP is implementation-heavy; Adobe is pure subscription
- CX Position: SAP CX is ~8% of SAP revenue, acquired (Hybris, Emarsys)
❌ Alphabet/Google (GOOGL) - Advertising, NOT Software - 15% Overlap
Why Often Listed: Both do “digital marketing”
Why NOT Comparable:
- Google: Advertising platform (sell ads, make money from ad spend)
- Adobe: Software platform (sell tools to marketers who then buy ads)
- Revenue Model: Google = advertising revenue; Adobe = subscription revenue
- Customer Relationship: Marketer uses Adobe to create campaigns, then spends media $ on Google
Actual Relationship: Complementary—Adobe tools integrate with Google Ads/Analytics.
❌ Corel Corporation (Private) - Legacy Competitor, Different Scale - 30% Overlap
Why Often Listed: CorelDRAW competes with Illustrator
Why NOT Comparable:
- Scale: Corel ~$500M revenue vs. Adobe $21.5B
- Model: Corel still sells perpetual licenses; Adobe is 95% subscription
- Market Position: Corel is niche/legacy; Adobe dominates professional market
Competitive Positioning Summary
Adobe’s Truest Peers for Valuation:
| Company | Overlap | Best Comparison For |
|---|---|---|
| Autodesk (ADSK) | 75% | Business model, margins, switching costs |
| Salesforce (CRM) | 70% | Experience Cloud, enterprise SaaS metrics |
| Intuit (INTU) | 55% | Subscription software, profitability |
| ServiceNow (NOW) | 50% | Enterprise SaaS multiples |
Investment Implications
For Comparative Valuation:
- DO compare to: Autodesk (identical business model transition, similar margins), Salesforce (Experience Cloud competition, enterprise SaaS), Intuit (subscription software economics), ServiceNow (SaaS multiples benchmark)
- DON’T compare to: Microsoft (conglomerate, infrastructure), Oracle/SAP (ERP-first, different buyer), Google (advertising platform)
For Margin Analysis:
- Compare 89% gross margins to Autodesk 91%, Salesforce 76%, Intuit 75%
- Adobe’s margins reflect software-only (no hardware, no implementation services)
- Don’t compare to Microsoft (Azure drags margins) or Oracle (services-heavy)
For Growth Comparison:
- Compare 11% revenue growth to Autodesk 12%, Salesforce 11%, ServiceNow 22%
- Adobe growth limited by creative market maturity; Experience Cloud growing faster
- Don’t compare to Figma/Canva (private, hypergrowth phase)
For Multiple Analysis (EV/Revenue):
- Adobe: ~10x
- Autodesk: ~11x
- Salesforce: ~6x
- ServiceNow: ~15x
- Intuit: ~11x
Adobe trades at premium to Salesforce (higher margins) but discount to ServiceNow (lower growth).
For TAM Analysis:
- Digital Media TAM: Professional creative software (~$70B)
- Document Cloud TAM: Document management (~$30B)
- Experience Cloud TAM: Marketing technology (~$150B, shared with Salesforce)
- NOT Adobe’s TAM: Total software market, cloud infrastructure, advertising spend
Summary Table
| Competitor | Type | Overlap % | Primary Overlap Dimension |
|---|---|---|---|
| Autodesk | True Peer | 75% | Business model, subscription, design software |
| Salesforce | True Peer | 70% | Experience Cloud, enterprise SaaS |
| Intuit | Partial Peer | 55% | Subscription software economics |
| ServiceNow | Partial Peer | 50% | Enterprise SaaS valuation |
| Figma | Segment Competitor | 65% | UI/UX design (Creative Cloud) |
| Canva | Segment Competitor | 50% | Non-professional design |
| Microsoft | NOT Peer | 25% | Conglomerate, different scale |
| Oracle | NOT Peer | 20% | ERP-first, different customer |
| SAP | NOT Peer | 15% | ERP-first, different model |
Sources:
- Adobe 2024 10-K Annual Report
- Adobe Revenue Breakdown | Bullfincher
- Autodesk FY2024 Results
- Salesforce Revenue Breakdown
- Intuit FY2024 Results
- ServiceNow Valuation Multiples
- Figma Revenue and Valuation | Sacra
- Canva Revenue and Valuation | Sacra
- Adobe Experience Cloud Competitors | 6sense
- SaaS Valuation Multiples 2024 | Aventis Advisors
- Top SaaS Companies 2024 | SaaS Corner
About This Skill
Identify genuine competitive peers for public companies based on business model analysis, not sector classifications. Find 5-10 true competitors ranked by overlap percentage for accurate valuation and competitive assessment.
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