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Quarterly Capacity-Constrained Roadmap
Prioritizing 4 features with a 16-week quarterly capacity constraint. Demonstrates capacity-aware roadmap planning, phase recommendations, and strategic deferral of high-risk features that don't fit within available time.
Input
What you provide to the skill
16 weeks capacity. Prioritize: onboarding (2000 users, medium, 85%, 3w), reporting (1500 users, high, 70%, 6w), integrations (800 users, massive, 50%, 10w), search (1200 users, low, 95%, 2w). Which to build this quarter?
Output
What the skill generates for you
Feature Prioritization Report
Q1 Roadmap Planning
Features Analyzed: 4
Framework: RICE Scoring (Reach x Impact x Confidence / Effort)
Capacity: 16 person-weeks
Executive Summary
Recommended Q1 Roadmap (fits 16-week capacity):
- Onboarding wizard (3 weeks - RICE: 567)
- Reporting (6 weeks - RICE: 525)
- Search (2 weeks - RICE: 285)
Total Effort: 11 weeks (leaves 5 weeks buffer or contingency)
Deferred to Q2+:
- Integrations (RICE: 200) - High effort (10 weeks), low confidence (50%). Risk of consuming entire quarter for uncertain outcome.
Key Insight: All three recommended features can ship this quarter with healthy buffer. Integrations has the lowest RICE score and highest risk profile - defer until you can increase confidence through discovery or prototyping.
RICE Scores Ranked
| Rank | Feature | RICE | Reach | Impact | Confidence | Effort | Quadrant |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Onboarding wizard | 567 | 2,000 | Medium (1.0) | 85% | 3 wks | Fill-In |
| 2 | Reporting | 525 | 1,500 | High (3.0) | 70% | 6 wks | Big Bet |
| 3 | Search | 285 | 1,200 | Low (0.5) | 95% | 2 wks | Fill-In |
| 4 | Integrations | 200 | 800 | Massive (5.0) | 50% | 10 wks | Big Bet |
RICE Calculation Methodology
Formula: RICE = (Reach x Impact x Confidence) / Effort
Impact Scale Used:
- Minimal = 0.25
- Low = 0.5
- Medium = 1.0
- High = 3.0
- Massive = 5.0
Confidence: Expressed as decimal (85% = 0.85)
Example Calculation (Onboarding wizard):
- RICE = (2,000 x 1.0 x 0.85) / 3 = 1,700 / 3 = 567
Value vs. Effort Matrix
High Value | Big Bets | Quick Wins
| |
| * Reporting | (none)
| * Integrations |
| |
|---------------------------|---------------------------
| Time Sinks | Fill-Ins
| |
| (none) | * Onboarding wizard
| | * Search
| |
Low Value +---------------------------+---------------------------
High Effort Low Effort
Detailed Analysis by Quadrant
Big Bets (High Value, High Effort)
Reporting - RICE: 525
- 1,500 users affected, high impact per user
- 6 weeks effort, 70% confidence
- Recommendation: BUILD THIS QUARTER. Strategic investment with strong RICE score. Start after onboarding wizard to maintain momentum.
Integrations - RICE: 200
- Massive impact potential BUT only 50% confidence
- 10 weeks effort = 62.5% of quarter capacity
- Recommendation: DEFER TO Q2. Run a 2-week discovery spike first to validate approach and increase confidence from 50% to 75%+. At 75% confidence, RICE would jump to 300.
Fill-Ins (Lower Value, Low Effort)
Onboarding wizard - RICE: 567
- Highest RICE score despite “fill-in” classification
- 2,000 users (highest reach), medium impact, 85% confidence
- Only 3 weeks effort
- Recommendation: BUILD FIRST. Despite lower value classification, exceptional RICE score makes this the clear starting point. Quick win to build momentum.
Search - RICE: 285
- 1,200 users, low impact per user, 95% confidence
- Only 2 weeks effort
- Recommendation: BUILD THIRD. Fits easily in remaining capacity. High confidence (95%) means low execution risk.
Recommended Roadmap
Phase 1 (Weeks 1-3): High RICE Quick Build
- Onboarding wizard (3 wks) - RICE: 567
Phase 2 (Weeks 4-9): Strategic Investment
- Reporting (6 wks) - RICE: 525
Phase 3 (Weeks 10-11): Polish & Ship
- Search (2 wks) - RICE: 285
Remaining Capacity: 5 weeks buffer (31% contingency)
Use buffer for:
- Overruns on reporting (most likely)
- Integrations discovery spike (2 weeks)
- Technical debt or bug fixes
Sensitivity Analysis
If reporting takes 9 weeks instead of 6 (50% overrun):
- Cumulative effort: 14 weeks
- Still fits capacity with 2-week buffer
- Mitigation: Search can be deferred to Q2 if needed
If you increase integrations confidence to 75%:
- RICE jumps from 200 to 300
- Still ranks #4 (below search)
- Still recommend deferring: 10 weeks is too large for Q1 with 3 other features
Close rankings to monitor:
- Onboarding (567) vs. Reporting (525) = 8% difference
- Small reach changes could flip order
- Recommendation stands: Start with onboarding for momentum
Risk assessment:
- Lowest risk: Search (95% confidence, 2 weeks)
- Medium risk: Onboarding (85% confidence)
- Higher risk: Reporting (70% confidence, 6 weeks)
- Highest risk: Integrations (50% confidence, 10 weeks) - defer
Strategic Recommendations
Build This Quarter
- Onboarding wizard - Highest RICE, affects most users, builds momentum
- Reporting - High value strategic bet, strong RICE score
- Search - Low effort, high confidence, fits in remaining capacity
Defer to Q2
Integrations - Despite “massive” impact rating, 50% confidence and 10-week effort make this too risky for Q1. Run 2-week spike first to:
- Validate technical approach
- Confirm integration partner APIs
- Increase confidence to 75%+
- Re-score for Q2 with better data
Key Success Factors
- Ship onboarding first to demonstrate early wins
- Protect 5-week buffer for reporting overruns
- Don’t commit to integrations without discovery spike
- Track actuals vs. estimates to improve Q2 planning
Next Steps
- Validate estimates with engineering team (especially 6-week reporting estimate)
- Start onboarding wizard (Week 1) - highest RICE score
- Kick off integrations discovery spike in parallel (Weeks 1-2 with separate team member if capacity exists)
- Transition to reporting (Week 4) after onboarding ships
- Build search (Weeks 10-11) if capacity remains
- Review integrations spike results at end of Q1 for Q2 planning
About This Skill
Calculate RICE scores and generate data-driven feature prioritization for product roadmaps. Takes feature ideas with rough estimates and produces ranked prioritization, value vs effort matrix, and strategic recommendations.
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