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Data Sufficiency Assessment
When research data falls below minimum thresholds, the skill provides honest assessment with options: wait for more data or proceed with provisional personas. Includes margin of error calculations and specific guidance.
Input
What you provide to the skill
Can you create personas from just 6 interviews plus 85 survey responses? Should I wait for more data?
Output
What the skill generates for you
Data Sufficiency Assessment: Can You Build Personas Now?
Your Current Data
- 6 interviews
- 85 survey responses
- Total: 91 data points
Skill Minimum Requirements
The skill specifies minimum requirements as one of these:
- 8-10 interview transcripts OR
- 200+ survey responses OR
- 5+ interviews + 100+ survey responses
Analysis: You’re Close, But Below Threshold
What You Have vs. What’s Recommended
| Metric | Your Data | Minimum | Recommended | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Interviews | 6 | 8-10 | 15-30 | ❌ Below minimum |
| Survey responses | 85 | 200+ | 300+ | ❌ Below minimum |
| Combined | 6 + 85 | 5 + 100 | 15 + 300 | ❌ 15 responses short |
What This Means
You are 15 survey responses short of the minimum combined threshold (5 interviews + 100 surveys). With only 91 total data points, you risk:
- Fewer personas - Likely 2-3 provisional personas instead of 3-5 validated ones
- Lower confidence - Statistical clustering won’t be robust (need 100+ for confidence)
- Weaker evidence - Fewer supporting quotes per persona (may have only 2-4 quotes instead of 5-10)
- Shakier segmentation - Harder to identify distinct behavioral patterns with high certainty
Recommendation: Two Options
Option A: Wait for 15+ More Survey Responses (RECOMMENDED)
Why:
- Crosses minimum threshold (100+ surveys)
- Significantly improves statistical validity
- Enables 3-4 solid personas instead of 2-3 provisional ones
Action: Push to get 15-20 more survey completions, then proceed
Option B: Proceed Now with Provisional Personas (ACCEPTABLE IF URGENT)
What you’ll get:
- 2-3 provisional personas (not 3-5 validated)
- Clearly labeled as “provisional” or “hypothesis-driven”
- Fewer supporting quotes per persona (3-5 instead of 5-10)
- Explicit caveats about sample size limitations
When to choose this:
- You need personas urgently for stakeholder alignment
- You’re willing to validate/refine them as more data comes in
My Recommendation
Wait for 15-20 more survey responses. Here’s why:
- You’re so close - Only 15 responses away from the minimum threshold
- Surveys are fast - Much faster than conducting 2-4 more interviews
- Quality jump - Going from 85 to 100+ responses significantly improves confidence
Quick Math on Confidence
- At 85 responses: Margin of error ~10.8% (assuming 95% confidence)
- At 100 responses: Margin of error ~9.8%
- At 120 responses: Margin of error ~8.9%
The jump from 85 to 100-120 is statistically meaningful.
If You Decide to Proceed Now
I can execute the skill with your current data and deliver:
- 2-3 provisional personas clearly marked as hypothesis-driven
- Best available supporting evidence from your 6 interviews + 85 surveys
- Explicit methodology notes acknowledging sample size limitations
Just confirm if you want to proceed or wait.
About This Skill
Synthesize user research into evidence-based personas with demographics, goals, pain points, and actionable recommendations.
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