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Sprint Commitment Capacity Calculator
Calculate optimal sprint commitment based on historical team velocity to prevent overcommitment. Analyzes past sprint performance, accounts for disruptions, detects velocity trends, and recommends story selections.
What You Get
Prevent the 20-40% overcommitment that leads to incomplete sprints by providing data-driven commitment recommendations with risk assessments and stakeholder-ready justifications.
The Problem
The Solution
How It Works
- 1 Gather team data including historical velocity from last 3-5 sprints, team size, and sprint length
- 2 Collect upcoming sprint details: candidate stories with estimates and known disruptions
- 3 Calculate historical performance metrics: average velocity, standard deviation, and trend detection
- 4 Adjust capacity for disruptions by calculating person-days and hours lost to PTO, holidays, and meetings
- 5 Generate recommended commitment ranges (conservative, standard, aggressive) based on adjusted capacity
- 6 Analyze proposed commitment against capacity to determine risk level and expected completion
- 7 Recommend specific stories to commit, stretch goals, and items to defer to next sprint
What You'll Need
- Historical velocity data (minimum 3 sprints, ideally 5+)
- List of candidate stories with story point estimates
- Team size and sprint length
- Optional: Known disruptions (PTO, holidays, meetings)
Get This Skill
Requires Pro subscription ($9/month)
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Declining Velocity Trend Detection and Response
Identifies systematic velocity decline (31% over 4 sprints), recommends conservative commitment, and provides urgent investigation areas and stabilization sprint guidance.
Capacity Adjustment for Team Disruptions
Calculates adjusted sprint capacity when team has known disruptions (PTO, holidays, meetings), quantifying each impact and providing stakeholder-ready justification for reduced commitment.
Standard Sprint Planning with Overcommitment Detection
Analyzes a stable team's historical velocity to identify severe overcommitment (108% over capacity) and provides specific story recommendations for commit, stretch, and defer categories.