Sprint Commitment Capacity Calculator

Pro v1.0.0 1 view

Calculate optimal sprint commitment based on historical team velocity to prevent overcommitment. Analyzes past sprint performance, accounts for disruptions, detects velocity trends, and recommends story selections.

What You Get

Prevent the 20-40% overcommitment that leads to incomplete sprints by providing data-driven commitment recommendations with risk assessments and stakeholder-ready justifications.

The Problem

Teams habitually overcommit during sprint planning, leading to incomplete sprints, team morale issues, and stakeholder frustration. Without data-driven analysis of historical velocity and known disruptions, planning becomes guesswork that fails to account for realistic capacity.

The Solution

Analyzes historical velocity data to calculate average performance and standard deviation. Detects velocity trends using linear regression. Adjusts capacity for known disruptions (PTO, holidays, meetings) by calculating person-days lost. Compares proposed commitment against capacity to assess risk levels and recommends specific story selections that fit within sustainable commitment levels. Provides stakeholder-ready analysis with clear justifications.

How It Works

  1. 1 Gather team data including historical velocity from last 3-5 sprints, team size, and sprint length
  2. 2 Collect upcoming sprint details: candidate stories with estimates and known disruptions
  3. 3 Calculate historical performance metrics: average velocity, standard deviation, and trend detection
  4. 4 Adjust capacity for disruptions by calculating person-days and hours lost to PTO, holidays, and meetings
  5. 5 Generate recommended commitment ranges (conservative, standard, aggressive) based on adjusted capacity
  6. 6 Analyze proposed commitment against capacity to determine risk level and expected completion
  7. 7 Recommend specific stories to commit, stretch goals, and items to defer to next sprint

What You'll Need

  • Historical velocity data (minimum 3 sprints, ideally 5+)
  • List of candidate stories with story point estimates
  • Team size and sprint length
  • Optional: Known disruptions (PTO, holidays, meetings)